Forecast question

Donor-advised fund assets above $380 billion for 2026?

Will the first Annual DAF Report estimate of total U.S. donor-advised fund assets for fiscal year 2026 be above $380 billion?

OpenCloses 2027-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
How it resolves

Resolves YES if the first Annual DAF Report covering fiscal year 2026 (expected late 2027) reports total DAF assets above $380 billion for that fiscal year, and NO otherwise. Later revisions don’t count. If no such report is published by 31 December 2027, the question is annulled.

Scored forecasts must be strictly before 2027-09-30T00:00:00.000Z (UTC). Date-only closing values mean midnight UTC, not the end of that day.

Background

The Annual DAF Report 2025 estimated donor-advised fund assets at $326.45 billion for fiscal year 2024, up 27.5 percent from $255.99 billion in fiscal year 2023. These figures combine sponsors with different fiscal year-end dates; they are not a single calendar-year-end snapshot. Assets change with contributions, grants, investment returns and expenses.

Why it matters

This tracks one side of Parked Money: how much has been given away for tax purposes but has not yet reached working charities.

Forecasts

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The generated timestamp is a draft, not an independent receipt. Reviewers must check the public submission history; never backdate a forecast. Resolution requires resolvedOn, outcomeKnownOn, a public HTTPS resolutionSource and a resolutionNote. Annulment uses annulled: true, outcome: null, decision time, source and reason.

Sources

  1. The Annual DAF Report 2025, Table 3 · Donor Advised Fund Research Collaborative, 2025